San Diego Real Estate Blog

I spent some time today researching San Diego median home prices in 2009 compared to what they were in 2008. I found a great link that shows the median price from January 2008 to January 2009 and shows the house-for-sale San Diego CAdifference in median prices in percentages. My theory based on real estate trends and experience in San Diego County has held true. I have been stressing the fact that many coastal areas will be hit the hardest despite what many so called experts have been saying. I have also said that areas like newer Chula Vista like EastLake, Rolling Hills Ranch, San Miguel Ranch and Otay Ranch have taken a huge hit early in this San Diego real estate downturn and won’t be hit nearly as bad as some of the areas that have a false sense of security. What I mean by false sense of security is that many coastal areas in San Diego just because they’re close to the beach are said to be by some real estate agents immune to a real estate downturn. Nonsense!

Some of these so called “untouchable to recession proof real estate areas” are North County Coastal and Coastal Central San Diego. Some of these areas are; Carlsbad, Encinitas, Oceanside, Solana Beach, Ocean Beach, Point Loma, and more. These areas have taken some of the biggest hits of all and in my opinion will continue to see slashed prices through 2009. These costal real estate areas should see bigger drops than the areas of Newer Chula Vista which has already taken its biggest drop early on.

The false sense of values in these coastal areas has allowed inventory to build and short sales and foreclosures to start their run up. These areas are and will be a buyer’s delight in 2009. I still think the newer areas of Chula Vista are closer to their bottom than many of the other areas in San Diego County. This means if you’re buying a home in these areas it could very well drop in value less than other areas of San Diego County. From January 2008 to January 2009 this was exactly what happened and is a good trend going into 2009 for home buyers.

Now the reality of some of the statistics in this San Diego Real Estate Median Home Price Chart is that the number of sales in some of the communities is so low that they are not that accurate. What is accurate is the overall median home prices by areas like; North County Coastal, East County, and South Bay San Diego. These are a culmination of the total sales in the areas and have a large enough number of closed sales to be accurate.

The chart tells me there has been a lower reduction in median home prices in South Bay San Diego OVER ALL OTHER AREAS of San Diego County. The bleeding is less in this area and some good signs of recovery and less hemorrhaging than other San Diego communities. Buyers and investors both are seeing the value in many South Bay San Diego Communities.

Checkout the San Diego Median Home Price Chart and make your own conclusions.

http://www.dqnews.com/Charts/Monthly-Charts/SDUT-Charts/ZIPSDUT.aspx

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