CAR Revises San Diego Real Estate Sales Numbers Due to MLS Data Glitch
This blog post is in reference to an article in the Wall Street Journal by James R. Hagerty. The WSJ reported that:
“The California Association of Realtors expects to make sharp downward revisions in its recent monthly reports of soaring home sales in the San Diego area, Robert Kleinhenz, deputy chief economist of the trade group, said in an interview. The problem resulted from a glitch in data from a multiple-listing service in San Diego, Mr. Kleinhenz said. He said a change in computer systems used there resulted in incorrect data being sent to the Realtor association over the past year or so. Thomas Lawler, an independent economist in Leesburg, Va., who tracks home sales nationwide, raised questions about the San Diego data in a report last week. Mr. Lawler noted that the numbers reported by the Realtors vastly exceeded those from MDA DataQuick, a research firm in La Jolla, Calif., and other sources. The California Realtors have reported that San Diego sales in April were up about 63% from a year earlier. Mr. Kleinhenz said that is expected to be revised downward to a gain of about 20%. For May, the group reported an 89% increase in sales in San Diego; that will be slashed to about 6.5%, the economist said. As a result, he said, the state-wide sales gain for May — reported last week as 35% — also will be revised down, though it probably will remain above 30%, Mr. Kleinhenz said.”
I use the San Diego MLS as a Realtor in San Diego. There have been some changes to it over the past year and just recently. Fields have been added and things have been changed around. It took Listingbook quite a while to finally come into San Diego as a tool for agents and their buyers and sellers to view real estate for sale in the MLS. It has been frustrating for me as well because the IDX solution for my San Diego real estate web site has been changed several times because of the adjustments in the San Diego MLS. This has also made many of my search links invalid and error codes pop up when clients do searches with prior created links. It has forced me to remove the links. I also understand that the MLS not only in San Diego but other areas of the country change from time to time and will always have to be modified with new fields and updates. It is a part of technology and changing times.
The old adage “GIGO – Garbage In Garbage Out” – doesn’t apply either because it wasn’t “Garbage In” it was just “Garbage Out”. Because of the Changes in the MLS I can see how the sales calculations can be different from what they were in the past because of the added fields that are now in play. I’m glad the mistake was caught and I’m sure more caution will be used in the future when doing these calculations. It can also affect the Median Home Price data as well. If fields change and new categories are created someone with an understanding of all this needs to be overseeing the operation to make sure the reporting is correct. DataQuick got it right ….. Why not hire them.
With San Diego real estate moving in an upwardly direction over the past couple of months recent interest rates could slow home buying activity. Home buyers in San Diego have been, in some areas of the county, fighting over homes that come up for sale. Many San Diego home buyers have offers in on short sales and jump all over the bank owned REO foreclosures the day they hit the market. Unfortunately the bank owned REO’s already have offers on them the day they come up for sale and sometime even before they show up in the MLS.
This has many home buyers frustrated and wondering what they have to do to get a house or condo in today’s San Diego Real Estate Market. Another issue that has been waiting to rear its ugly head is interest rates. When interest rates rise home buyers see their purchasing power reduced. Keep in mind when interest rates go up the monthly payment for a homebuyer also goes up and sometimes more than what they are comfortable with. Many times the lender will have to reduce the purchase price of what the homebuyer can qualify for.
This scenario can also have a real negative effect on the real estate market in general. If a home buyer wanting to buy a home has had a certain purchase price and monthly payment in mind for a certain size and quality of home and then they’re told that they can’t buy the same home at the same monthly payment, many of them will decide not to buy. Some will wait for the homes that they were recently able to buy at a certain price range to come down into the loan amount of what the comfortable monthly payment is that they had already had their hearts set on. Some of them won’t be able to afford the same home they thought they could buy and won’t settle for less of a home now. These factors could show a decline in demand and then a decline in home prices. We’ll have to wait and see. Oh, and don’t forget about the foreclosures to keep the median home price in San Diego from gaining too much ground. There are a few years of that left.
If you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
Ashlon Langley Writer and Director of The Car a 1970’s film starring James Brolin was interviewed on Shameful Cinema. I write many Blog posts about San Diego and San Diego Real Estate and after reading the Ashlon interview about this 1970 movie I thought I would deviate and write about something out of the ordinary. I like the 1970’s low budget movies without all of the special effects and outspoken actors of today’s Hollywood. Ashlon responding to a question from the interviewer Andy about the car design he said;
Ashlon: The under-cranking was reminiscent of the Adams Family and The Munsters television series, making that quality silly to me. However, the design is choice! I love that one of the confusing points for the cops in the movie is that they can’t tell what make or model the beast is. And… it has no tags! If only they could get a license plate, the bungling cops could stop all the mayhem, yeah right!
I wrote about this movie and this interview because things are also reminiscent of the 1970’s even though it’s 2009. We are now like in the early 70’s in a recession and inflation is due to rise. America has taken a hit in the pride department due to the media’s constant attack on the good things America stands for and good things the United States does for so many around the world. The 70’s brought about the 80’s and the economy started gaining ground again and Americans had a lot of good things to feel good about. Watch The Car if you can and read the Ashlon interview. It’s truly entertaining.
If you need help buying a home, condo, Bank Owned REO, Foreclosure or Short Sale in the San Diego area including Chula Vista make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
South Bay San Diego has been and continues to be a very hard place to buy a home. It has one of the highest amounts of REO AKA Bank Owned Foreclosures and Short Sales in San Diego County. Chula Vista Real Estate, especially homes priced $300,000 and under, is a very popular price range. I have written well over 100 offers with several clients in the South Bay and have had only 2 accepted. My clients also write good fair offers on the properties they are interested in buying.
Most of the homes in the South Bay are short sales and can stay on the market for many months and sometimes over a year. To a buyer or non savvy real estate agent, this makes it looks like there are lots of homes for sale in the MLS and on sites like Realtor.com and Trulia. The truth is that most of the homes are short sales with many offers on them and no answer in site from the bank on what they’ll accept for a sale price. Some short sales I have had offers in on have had well over 20 offers rivaling some of the REO listings with the highest I’ve seen have well over 40 offers. This market can leave many home buyers discouraged.
The rumor of the second wave of foreclosures, which is not a rumor, is on the way with the hole in the dam already gushing water and the collapse of the dam imminent. But why are the asset managers representing the banks not unloading these toxic assets faster. This is a good question and is talked about often among real estate agents and REO agents like me. The most logical and most likely among people in the know is waiting for the administration. That’s right, it’s believed by some that the banks are waiting to see if Obama will buy back the toxic assets with your tax dollars. If the banks sell the REO’s now they won’t get money from Washington. If the bank sells now they will take the loss on the home which is $100,000 or $200,000 or much more. If they wait for another bailout by Big Brother they can get the money from us “you and me” and not take a loss. Would you wait? Of course this is just talk who knows if it’s really true or going to happen.
In the mean time if you’re buying a home in South Bay San Diego be patient and don’t get discouraged. Buying a home will take time and should be considered and adventure like life itself.
If you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
There are many foreclosures because of the Foreclosure Moratorium that are waiting to be put on the market for sale by banks, asset managers and REO agents. The foreclosure moratorium here in San Diego County as well as most areas of the United States has kept homeowners in their homes through the 2008 holidays and then extended into 2009. Now that we’re well into 2009 there are many wondering why hasn’t the banks released the foreclosures. Many of them are vacant and the buyers are looking for new foreclosures to buy. In fact there are so many buyers here in San Diego they are starting to get discouraged in some San Diego markets and price ranges on the lack of inventory. There are also multiple offers on many homes sometimes exceeding 30 offers.
Some say the foreclosures are being held off the market because the banks are waiting to see if the Obama administration will subsidize the banks for their toxic assets. If that’s the case one of two things will happen the government “our tax dollars and our kids and grandkids tax dollars” will bailout the banks once again and then the foreclosures will come onto the San Diego market or the administration wont bail them out and the foreclosures will come on the market. Either way if this is the hold up let’s make a decision already because my buyers are getting real tired of waiting.
The word here in San Diego is that there are buyers galore and not enough homes for sale in some areas and some price ranges. Mostly first time home buyer price ranges. The inventory is filled with REO’s that are heavily damaged and needing lots of work or short sales with many offers and slow moving negotiators at banks. I HOPE by summer the Obama administration will CHANGE what’s going on.
If you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
The National Association of Realtors® NAR reported that the February 2009 sale of existing homes in the U.S. including single family homes, condos, town homes and co-ops rose by 5.1% from the 2009 January sales numbers. This is great news for the real estate market especially here in San Diego. The Southern California Real Estate Market has seen a huge influx of buyers in early 2009. Some of this could be due to the great $8,000 Tax Credit for First Time Home Buyers and the $10,000 New Home Buyers in California. I am working with a lot of investors in the San Diego Real Estate Market and so are many other Realtors® I know.
This news is also coupled with the news of median home prices of existing homes across the nation has dropped 15.5% from February 2008. Buyers should delight in the fact that prices are low and interest rates are also down. San Diego REO or foreclosed homes in lower price ranges are getting multiple offers and are even having appraisal problems when selling because comps are lower than the new sales. These are good signs and investors and home buyers “especially new home buyers” are out in force in the San Diego area. The new foreclosures “dubbed the Next Wave” are hitting soon and from what I see the buyers will be there to gobble them up.
San Diego in 2009 should be a year of high volume sales!!!
If you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
Many people hear short sales and think “shorts for sale” these are not shorts for sale in San Diego. They are short sales or selling your home short of what is owed on it to the bank.
The San Diego MLS is filled with Short Sale Homes. Many buyers think that most of the homes for sale in San Diego Foreclosures or bank owned homes. The fact is that there are many more short sales in San Diego County than there are foreclosures. When buying a short sale home in San Diego there are many things that need to be taken into consideration. Things that you will need an experienced San Diego Short Sale Realtor to help you with. There are many reasons why a short sale home can be a better option over a bank owned home.
A short sale home is a home that is listed for sale and will sell for less money than what is owed by the homeowner to the bank or mortgage company. San Diego has many short sale homes on the market and will continue to through 2009, 2010, 2011 and maybe even further down the line. If the home doesn’t sell as a short sale it will in most cases become a foreclosure and will be taken back by the bank and become an REO or Real Estate Owned on the banks books. The banks will then sell this home or hire a San Diego REO Listing Agentto sell the home as a foreclosure.
Some of the benefits of buying a short sale home over an REO are that in many cases because the homeowner still owns the home the homes are in better condition. The homeowner wants their home sold before the bank forecloses on it and in most cases will have it well kept during the short sale process and in many cases be living in it. This is not always the case but it is more likely that a San Diego Short Sale is in better condition than a San Diego REO. The process for buying a short sale is usually much longer than buying a foreclosure. There is much more negotiation and bank processing time when purchasing a short sale.
If you are considering buying a San Diego Short Sale Home make sure you contact us. We have many to show you.
If you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtor.
Do you want a list of San Diego Foreclosures? If so we can help you with that. There are thousands of foreclosures in San Diego County and the list changes every day. We thought about putting a daily San Diego foreclosure list together but then thought why not just give the San Diego foreclosure search tools to the buyers. That way a buyer looking for a foreclosure in San Diego or even the whole state of California can search foreclosures by zip code, price, size and any other possible search criteria.
This service costs us money but we feel that if a client wants to search for a foreclosure, why not give them the tools real estate experts use. Buyers then know how serious we are about helping them find a San Diego foreclosure by letting them use our expensive foreclosure analyzer tools for free. A list of foreclosures in San Diego is ineffective compared to how these tools can help you locate the perfect San Diego foreclosure. When you’re ready to buy a San Diego Foreclosure make sure you call us the San Diego Foreclosure Experts!
What’s the deal? There are many ways to look at foreclosures and bank owned homes in
San Diego and Chula Vista California. I have noticed some companies cramming buyers on a bus to look for deals on foreclosures and bank owned homes. Many real estate agents look at this as the most uncomfortable and ineffective way to look at foreclosures and bank owned homes.
Home buyers that are interested in buying a foreclosure in the San Diego area usually select a real estate agent that can help them find the right home in the right area in the right price range. Home buyers don’t pay an agent the seller does. It’s not any cheaper to cram on to a bus with many other buyers and compete for the same deals on homes than it is to have an agent dedicated to working with just you. Usually a day of driving around the wrong neighborhoods and looking at homes not even in their price range or not even the kind of home the buyer wants will cure a buyer of wanting to do this ever again.
Let’s just say you find a foreclosure you like and 3 other families on the deal bus want to buy it. Now you’re competing with 3 other buyers driving the price up and who’s representing who? Like I said as a buyer you don’t pay the agent the seller does. You can have excellent one on one service with a local real estate agent who will research exactly what you’re looking for and find the homes that fit that description. Then the agent will pick you up or meet you at the office and show you the homes that exactly fit your description of what you want in home. Being crammed on a bus and looking at mostly homes that don’t fit what you’re looking for is a wasted day. Your time is valued with us.
When you want to take your San Diego and Chula Vista foreclosure and bank owned home search seriously give us a call. We’re here for one on one professional experienced service for the same price, Nothing! You can either eat with your family at a fast food restaurant or eat at a fine upscale restaurant either way it will cost you the same amount of money, nothing! It would be the same as the restaurant owner paying. When buying a home the seller or the bank on a foreclosure pays the real estate agent not the buyer. Take your time and think this one out. You can have great one on one service or be crammed on a bus. What do you think the deal is?
If you are a San Diego Border Patrol Agent buying a home in San Diego County including Chula Vista, Otay Mesa, San Ysidro and Imperial Beach make sure you call us. We have helped many Border Patrol Agents in San Diego buy a home. We appreciate all the hard work you do in San Diego County and want you to know when it comes to find a Real Estate Agent in San Diego we’re here to help. If you’re a Border Patrol Agent relocating to San Diego make sure you give us a call. We can get started right away emailing you homes for sale in San Diego and get things ready for your move to Southern California.
We have some great tools on our San Diego Real Estate Web Site to help you find your new home. We also have great maps to assist you in the location of the home to the rest of San Diego and distances to freeways. Also due to the large amounts of foreclosures in San Diego we have a San Diego Foreclosure Search Tool. If you’re in the U.S. Border Patrol and you need help buying a home or condo in the San Diego area make sure you contact us we’re your San Diego Realtors.
